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Earthquake events · magnitude PSI drift

Deterministic evidence · read-only
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Incident summary

DATA DRIFT · WARNING severity

OPEN

Earthquake events

magnitude PSI drift · drift:magnitude:psi

Earthquake events magnitude PSI drift detected. Observed metric: 1.0240320920258377; threshold: 0.3.

Occurrences1Persisted observations
Last seen5:59:43 AM
Opened
Incident key
earthquake-events:drift:magnitude:PSI

Deterministic root cause

A ranked explanation derived from persisted evidence. It is authoritative for this view; optional AI is shown later.

No AI inference
Top ranked causeDISTRIBUTION SHIFT
HIGH confidence

Probable cause: distribution shift. Evidence: psi distribution shift. Confidence: HIGH. Affected downstream assets: 3.

Ranked candidates

#1 DISTRIBUTION SHIFTHIGH confidencescore 10

Evidence used

psi distribution shiftDRIFT_RESULT · drift_resultsweight 10

Algorithm deterministic-rca-v1 · fingerprint dde080a8d378… · created 11/1/2026, 5:59:33 AM

Evidence

Human-readable fields are the first view. Raw JSON remains available when exact payload inspection is useful.

1 occurrence
Method
PSI
Details.Epsilon
0
Details.Baseline Bins
[0.734,1,1.291,1.5,1.7,1.88,2.1,2.46,3.624]
Details.Location Shift.P95 Shift
0.015
Details.Location Shift.Mean Shift
-0.242
Details.Location Shift.Current P95
4.515
Details.Location Shift.Baseline P95
4.5
Details.Location Shift.Current Mean
1.664
Details.Location Shift.Median Shift
-0.455
Details.Location Shift.Baseline Mean
1.907
Details.Location Shift.Current Median
1.245
Details.Location Shift.Baseline Median
1.7
Details.Location Shift.Normalized Median Shift
-0.396
Details.Warning Threshold
0.15
Details.Current Distribution
[0.2,0.19,0.12,0,0.04,0.12,0.02,0.15,0.09,0.07]
Details.Baseline Distribution
[0.10091743119266056,0.0963302752293578,0.10550458715596331,0.05963302752293578,0.11926605504587157,0.11467889908256881,0.0963302752293578,0.10550458715596331,0.10091743119266056,0.10091743119266056]
Threshold
0.3
Column Name
magnitude
Drift Result Id
1,638
Observed Metric
1.024
Baseline Version
1
Current Sample Count
100
Baseline Sample Count
218
View raw evidence JSON
{
  "method": "PSI",
  "details": {
    "epsilon": 0.000001,
    "baseline_bins": [
      0.734,
      1,
      1.291,
      1.5,
      1.7,
      1.88,
      2.1,
      2.46,
      3.624
    ],
    "location_shift": {
      "p95_shift": 0.014999999999998792,
      "mean_shift": -0.24241205166203939,
      "current_p95": 4.514999999999999,
      "baseline_p95": 4.5,
      "current_mean": 1.6643999999,
      "median_shift": -0.45499999999999985,
      "baseline_mean": 1.9068120515620395,
      "current_median": 1.245,
      "baseline_median": 1.7,
      "normalized_median_shift": -0.39565217391304336
    },
    "warning_threshold": 0.15,
    "current_distribution": [
      0.2,
      0.19,
      0.12,
      0,
      0.04,
      0.12,
      0.02,
      0.15,
      0.09,
      0.07
    ],
    "baseline_distribution": [
      0.10091743119266056,
      0.0963302752293578,
      0.10550458715596331,
      0.05963302752293578,
      0.11926605504587157,
      0.11467889908256881,
      0.0963302752293578,
      0.10550458715596331,
      0.10091743119266056,
      0.10091743119266056
    ]
  },
  "threshold": 0.3,
  "column_name": "magnitude",
  "drift_result_id": 1638,
  "observed_metric": 1.0240320920258377,
  "baseline_version": 1,
  "current_sample_count": 100,
  "baseline_sample_count": 218
}

Blast radius

Downstream assets captured when this incident was evaluated.

Open dataset lineage
USGS Quality EvaluationPROCESS · distance 1
dataset:earthquake-eventsprocess:quality-usgs
Quality APIAPI · distance 2
dataset:earthquake-eventsprocess:quality-usgsapi:quality
Quality DashboardDASHBOARD · distance 3
dataset:earthquake-eventsprocess:quality-usgsapi:qualityui:quality-dashboard

Lifecycle

Chronological state transitions recorded for this incident.

1 event
  1. OPENED

    Earthquake events magnitude PSI drift detected. Observed metric: 1.0240320920258377; threshold: 0.3.

    OPEN

AI Incident Copilot

Optional explanatory context based on the same persisted evidence. It cannot change incident state.

Optional · non-authoritative
FALLBACKdeterministic-fallback · deterministic-rca-v1
Deterministic OpenDQ analysis identifies distribution shift as the leading explanation with high confidence.

This explanation follows the persisted deterministic RCA result. The leading cause is distribution shift; the AI provider was not used or was unavailable.

Evidence highlights

drift-result:1638{"column": "magnitude", "method": "PSI", "metric": 1.0240320920258377, "status": "DRIFT", "threshold": 0.3}

Suggested investigation

  1. Compare the current distribution with the stored baseline and inspect the affected column.

Uncertainties

No additional uncertainties recorded.

Prompt incident-copilot-v1 · generated 11/1/2026, 5:59:45 AM · new analysis